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The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +249.00$

Invest 477.93$

Average return 726.93$

ROI +52.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 169.60 $, profit at most −442.67 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −362.27 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

28.72 $

at 28.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

79.78 $

at 26.59

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

369.43 $

at 61.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 477.93 $ +249.00 (+52.1%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

57.44 $

at 28.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

79.78 $

at 26.59

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

307.86 $

at 61.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 445.08 $ +226.18 (+50.8%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

86.16 $

at 28.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

79.78 $

at 26.59

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

246.29 $

at 61.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 412.22 $ +203.36 (+49.3%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

114.88 $

at 28.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

79.78 $

at 26.59

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

184.72 $

at 61.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.37 $ +180.54 (+47.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

143.60 $

at 28.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

79.78 $

at 26.59

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

123.14 $

at 61.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 346.52 $ +157.72 (+45.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 386.10 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

237.86 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

420.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

99.45 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +222.62 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +242.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2425603 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 270.35$ · invest 472.17$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2442449 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 268.69$ · invest 459.91$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076797 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.005947 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2419114 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.05$ · invest 465.72$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2426584 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 256.90$ · invest 485.48$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2437483 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 256.49$ · invest 468.52$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080223 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008945 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2430824 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 254.95$ · invest 461.46$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2441750 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 254.93$ · invest 464.65$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2422123 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 254.77$ · invest 475.39$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2428980 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 254.40$ · invest 479.54$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078893 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007781 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2423020 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 253.80$ · invest 491.62$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2418003 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 253.20$ · invest 481.22$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078748 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007654 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2443737 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 252.81$ · invest 481.01$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079955 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008711 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2424200 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 251.82$ · invest 462.65$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080135 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008868 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2443013 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 251.28$ · invest 514.00$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003607 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2438558 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 250.66$ · invest 537.09$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2440185 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 250.31$ · invest 471.06$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078748 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007654 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2442126 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 249.46$ · invest 469.51$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2432559 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 249.34$ · invest 479.08$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2427677 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 249.21$ · invest 467.35$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2433270 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 248.07$ · invest 475.60$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079582 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008384 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2436161 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 248.06$ · invest 489.22$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2434598 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 247.42$ · invest 477.88$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.009367
Craft 2444076 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 245.44$ · invest 527.44$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.009367

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build