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The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +193.85$

Invest 445.54$

Average return 639.39$

ROI +43.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 158.27 $, profit at most −518.88 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −427 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

28.72 $

at 28.72

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

416.82 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 445.54 $ +193.85 (+43.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −317 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.14 $

at 10.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

57.44 $

at 28.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

26.44 $

at 26.44

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

277.88 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 371.90 $ +175.60 (+47.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −208 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

30.42 $

at 10.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

57.44 $

at 28.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

26.44 $

at 26.44

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

185.25 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 299.55 $ +156.05 (+52.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −154 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

40.56 $

at 10.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

57.44 $

at 28.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

26.44 $

at 26.44

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

138.94 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 263.38 $ +146.28 (+55.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

60.83 $

at 10.14

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

57.44 $

at 28.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

26.44 $

at 26.44

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

46.31 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.03 $ +126.74 (+66.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 484.28 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

92.00 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

420.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99.45 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +96.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +184.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2426610 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.75$ · invest 453.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −453 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2437514 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.34$ · invest 436.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −423 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2430849 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 199.79$ · invest 429.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −417 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2441780 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 199.78$ · invest 432.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2422152 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 199.61$ · invest 443.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −443 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2429005 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 199.25$ · invest 447.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −447 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2418020 · The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 198.05$ · invest 448.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −438 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2443763 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 197.66$ · invest 448.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −449 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2424231 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 196.67$ · invest 430.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −428 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2440208 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 195.16$ · invest 438.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −426 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2442161 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 194.31$ · invest 437.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −437 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2432589 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 194.19$ · invest 446.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −447 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2427716 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 194.06$ · invest 434.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −428 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2433287 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 192.92$ · invest 443.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −443 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2436179 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 192.91$ · invest 456.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −457 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2434613 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 192.27$ · invest 445.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2440648 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 187.51$ · invest 450.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −451 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2425630 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 187.39$ · invest 439.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −429 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2443459 · The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 187.31$ · invest 451.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −452 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2431816 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 185.51$ · invest 453.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −454 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2423039 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 185.00$ · invest 459.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −454 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2443624 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 184.53$ · invest 459.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −460 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)
Craft 2421083 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 183.17$ · invest 464.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −464 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build