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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +142.05₴

Invest 195.32₴

Average return 337.38₴

ROI +72.7%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 468.24 ₴, profit at most −130.87 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

14.27 ₴

at 14.27

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

87.87 ₴

at 17.57

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

93.19 ₴

at 23.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 195.32 ₴ +142.05 (+72.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

982.22 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

115.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

253.58 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

344.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

97.97 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

42.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

52.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.062222

88.56 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

41.01 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +77.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +109.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2435969 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 145.58₴ · invest 220.34₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2442871 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 144.77₴ · invest 198.92₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2427456 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 144.41₴ · invest 193.35₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2433082 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 143.03₴ · invest 203.15₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2437257 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 142.18₴ · invest 194.03₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2442838 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 142.07₴ · invest 202.46₴
rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2423965 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.39₴ · invest 199.15₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2421919 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.22₴ · invest 205.68₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2431531 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.15₴ · invest 217.92₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2441896 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 139.93₴ · invest 197.86₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2441523 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 138.68₴ · invest 198.35₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2417853 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.47₴ · invest 207.06₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2440004 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.32₴ · invest 215.18₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074846 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074846 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2440436 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 134.57₴ · invest 204.29₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2422861 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 133.26₴ · invest 220.16₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2442249 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 133.22₴ · invest 213.20₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075241
Craft 2428774 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 132.67₴ · invest 218.12₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2442945 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 131.62₴ · invest 218.72₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build