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The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +320.98$

Invest 270.80$

Average return 591.78$

ROI +118.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 665.63 $, profit at most −73.84 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −271 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

18.14 $

at 18.14

Steam

×8

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

187.65 $

at 23.46

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

65.02 $

at 65.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.80 $ +320.98 (+118.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −242 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

164.19 $

at 23.46

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0236

12.94 $

at 6.47

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

65.02 $

at 65.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 242.14 $ +238.32 (+98.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −225 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

140.74 $

at 23.46

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0233

19.40 $

at 6.47

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

65.02 $

at 65.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.16 $ +199.65 (+88.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −208 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

117.28 $

at 23.46

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0231

25.87 $

at 6.47

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

65.02 $

at 65.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.17 $ +160.97 (+77.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −191 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MAC-10 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

93.82 $

at 23.46

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0229

32.34 $

at 6.47

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Faded Zebra

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

65.02 $

at 65.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.18 $ +122.30 (+64.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

MAG-7 | Bulldozer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

744.56 $ 90.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132.16 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

74.64 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106.61 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 only The Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +275.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +317.67 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Mirage Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2414251 · The Arms Deal Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 321.57$ · invest 268.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)
Craft 2437817 · The Mirage Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit 308.52$ · invest 315.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −316 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Teal Blossom (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New); UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): float at most 0.003916 instead of 0.004133; MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003916 instead of 0.004133

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build