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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 386.27₸

Invest 2 172.33₸

Average return 3 558.60₸

ROI +63.8%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 5 160.07 ₸, profit at most −1 601.47 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

344.55 ₸

at 344.55

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

887.03 ₸

at 177.41

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

940.75 ₸

at 235.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 172.33 ₸ +1 386.27 (+63.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 25%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 915.72 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 168.24 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

2 559.91 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 474.36 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.169999

1 524.60 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2 223.70 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138888

3 371.79 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.029555

2 510.41 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +711.28 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 049.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2435969 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 469.68₸ · invest 2 224.39₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2442871 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 461.48₸ · invest 2 008.18₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2427456 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 457.86₸ · invest 1 951.95₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2433082 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 443.95₸ · invest 2 050.89₸
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2437257 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 435.38₸ · invest 1 958.79₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2442838 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 434.24₸ · invest 2 043.83₸
rare inputs

Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2430616 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 434.06₸ · invest 1 971.83₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2423965 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 417.25₸ · invest 2 010.43₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2421919 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 415.53₸ · invest 2 076.39₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2431531 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 414.89₸ · invest 2 199.97₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2441896 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 412.60₸ · invest 1 997.44₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2441523 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 400.05₸ · invest 2 002.35₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2417853 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 387.77₸ · invest 2 090.28₸
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2440436 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 358.52₸ · invest 2 062.33₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2422861 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 345.29₸ · invest 2 222.52₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2442249 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 344.86₸ · invest 2 152.34₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2428774 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 339.33₸ · invest 2 201.94₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846
Craft 2442945 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 328.77₸ · invest 2 208.04₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.074846

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build