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The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +97.76₴

Invest 281.25₴

Average return 379.00₴

ROI +34.8%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 726.91 ₴, profit at most −347.91 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

27.16 ₴

at 27.16

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

254.08 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 281.25 ₴ +97.76 (+34.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

27.16 ₴

at 27.16

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

68.26 ₴

at 34.13

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

41.19 ₴

at 13.73

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

112.93 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 249.54 ₴ +91.33 (+36.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

81.49 ₴

at 27.16

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

34.13 ₴

at 34.13

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

54.92 ₴

at 13.73

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

56.46 ₴

at 28.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227.00 ₴ +94.80 (+41.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 2%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

413.67 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

217.90 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

741.79 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.186170

151.02 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

220.27 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147872

334.00 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.036382

248.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +42.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.91 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2443709 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 90.75₴ · invest 280.96₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077059 instead of 0.076305
Craft 2444023 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 90.49₴ · invest 319.80₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.076305

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build