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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +15.39$

Invest 39.63$

Average return 55.02$

ROI +38.8%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 97.61 $, profit at most −42.60 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

2.95 $

at 2.95

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

27.94 $

at 3.49

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

8.74 $

at 8.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.63 $ +15.39 (+38.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

24.45 $

at 3.49

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

17.48 $

at 8.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11.08 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.01 $ +5.84 (+11.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

5.89 $

at 2.95

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

20.96 $

at 3.49

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

8.74 $

at 8.74

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

11.08 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.67 $ +10.26 (+22.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

5.89 $

at 2.95

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

13.97 $

at 3.49

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

17.48 $

at 8.74

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

22.17 $

at 11.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.51 $ +1.27 (+2.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

156.27 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

13.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

13.76 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

78.98 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.016666

104.57 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.051666

65.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.03 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2415471 · The Bank Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 14.70$ · invest 33.48$
sells slowly

AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.162852; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161682 instead of 0.162852
Craft 2440223 · The Phoenix Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 14.40$ · invest 37.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build