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The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +190.63$

Invest 154.20$

Average return 344.83$

ROI +123.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 386.20 $, profit at most −41.37 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −150 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

5.77 $

at 1.44

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

148.43 $

at 24.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.20 $ +190.63 (+123.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

667.46 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

636.54 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.010405

15.12 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

9.51 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15.51 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +133.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +180.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2429993 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 192.00$ · invest 154.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2443293 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 191.81$ · invest 189.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −189 $ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2441427 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 190.97$ · invest 171.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −149 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2442505 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 190.66$ · invest 167.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New)
Craft 2431855 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 190.23$ · invest 161.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2443489 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 190.17$ · invest 155.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New)
Craft 2419154 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 189.65$ · invest 159.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2416329 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 189.48$ · invest 162.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −151 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2443880 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 188.24$ · invest 166.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −152 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2444033 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 187.52$ · invest 185.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2430875 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 187.38$ · invest 156.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2426642 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 187.19$ · invest 165.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2434018 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 187.10$ · invest 163.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −153 $ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2410954 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 186.32$ · invest 171.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2422185 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 185.78$ · invest 164.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2440675 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 184.99$ · invest 162.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2439658 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 182.68$ · invest 178.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074006
Craft 2412793 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 180.30$ · invest 215.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −215 $ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074006

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build