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The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +0.33$

Invest 2.33$

Average return 2.66$

ROI +14.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 5.99 $, profit at most −3.33 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

2.06 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.27 $

at 0.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.33 $ +0.33 (+14.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.37 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

2.12 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

2.58 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085714

0.36 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2441016 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.37$ · invest 2.41$
MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164140 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2440157 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.36$ · invest 2.54$
UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164220 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2443409 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.36$ · invest 2.40$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165261 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2443576 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 2.39$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165261 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2425567 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 2.37$
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2431744 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.35$ · invest 2.42$
AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162754 instead of 0.162348
Craft 2443577 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 0.34$ · invest 2.41$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Hunter (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166534 instead of 0.162348

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build