The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +12 656.94₴

Invest 25 704.55₴

Average return 38 361.49₴

ROI +49.2%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 59 367.89 ₴, profit at most −21 006.39 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 212 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 973.13 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×1

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1039

6 943.32 ₴

at 6 943.32

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

18 761.23 ₴

at 4 690.31

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 25 704.55 ₴ +12 656.94 (+49.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 929 ₴

1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1026

13 886.64 ₴

at 6 943.32

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

14 070.93 ₴

at 4 690.31

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 957.56 ₴ +6 527.45 (+23.4%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 51%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 532.73 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 583.85 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 615.03 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 886.64 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 487.57 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 712.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 522.45 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 532.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 848.77 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 904.91 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 358.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 090.36 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 436.50 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 923.38 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 696.76 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 694.35 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 555.06 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 445.47 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 846.63 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 461.81 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 886.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 011.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 646.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 049.39 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 071.53 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

19 330.00 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 384.85 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

10 339.05 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 822.15 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 760.88 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 532.04 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 838.15 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 271.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

9 056.98 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

7 006.98 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 474.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 518.29 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 797.36 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 304.48 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 760.96 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 088.97 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 534.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

74 172.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

56 729.36 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

40 749.59 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 604.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

34 213.77 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 440.98 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

53 000.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

44 052.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

36 533.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

35 436.22 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

30 981.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 943.32 → 14 997.57 ₴

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) × 4 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 18 761.23 → 44 370.32 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 525.71 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 605.82 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2446087 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 784.40₴ · invest 25 286.28₴
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008108 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2446088 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 13 784.40₴ · invest 25 286.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.008108 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445997 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 13 649.01₴ · invest 22 740.59₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010510 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445998 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 649.01₴ · invest 22 740.59₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010510 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2446079 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 617.13₴ · invest 22 987.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −240 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010295 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2446080 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 13 617.13₴ · invest 22 987.35₴
profit on prices without salesat least −240 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010295 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445857 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 13 131.91₴ · invest 28 969.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 977 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445858 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13 131.91₴ · invest 28 969.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 977 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445665 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 12 843.22₴ · invest 25 977.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 600 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009861 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445666 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 843.22₴ · invest 25 977.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 600 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009861 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2444995 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 12 766.63₴ · invest 25 594.87₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 102 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009355 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2444996 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 766.63₴ · invest 25 594.87₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 102 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009355 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445829 · The Revolution Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 12 741.82₴ · invest 22 534.92₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445830 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 741.82₴ · invest 22 534.92₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445635 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 12 720.43₴ · invest 26 100.27₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 723 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445636 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 720.43₴ · invest 26 100.27₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 723 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445075 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 12 656.94₴ · invest 25 704.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 212 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2446071 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 631.52₴ · invest 24 738.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −419 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010510 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2446072 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12 631.52₴ · invest 24 738.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −419 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.010510 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445535 · The Revolution Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 12 527.79₴ · invest 23 031.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2445536 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 527.79₴ · invest 23 031.81₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2444699 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 12 492.43₴ · invest 26 578.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 282 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011223 instead of 0.005564
Craft 2444700 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12 492.43₴ · invest 26 578.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 282 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011223 instead of 0.005564

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build