The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +388.07$

Invest 414.13$

Average return 802.20$

ROI +93.7%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 960.15 $, profit at most −157.95 $

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −18.44 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

320.11 $

at 80.03

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

94.02 $

at 94.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 414.13 $ +388.07 (+93.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

240.08 $

at 80.03

Steam

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

188.05 $

at 94.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 428.13 $ +251.78 (+58.8%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −211 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

160.05 $

at 80.03

Steam

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

282.07 $

at 94.02

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 442.13 $ +115.50 (+26.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 32%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

267.54 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

978.94 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

353.20 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

344.78 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

875.83 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

706.80 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380.61 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 066.93 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 825.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

999.12 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 101.93 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 036.47 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

954.97 $ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 593.73 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

964.84 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

950.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 557.38 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

603.64 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 701.13 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 634.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

223.89 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

985.29 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

377.00 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503.06 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

210.82 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

246.04 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

296.73 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 455.23 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 107.09 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

212.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

376.19 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.25 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

412.30 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

115.63 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +357.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +385.72 $ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2446055 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 391.79$ · invest 465.28$
sale unreliable no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446056 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 391.79$ · invest 465.28$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445995 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 388.78$ · invest 408.64$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445996 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 388.78$ · invest 408.64$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446043 · The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 388.07$ · invest 414.13$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2445853 · The Recoil Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 377.27$ · invest 547.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445855 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 377.27$ · invest 547.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −33 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445663 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 370.85$ · invest 480.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445664 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 370.85$ · invest 480.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2444993 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 369.14$ · invest 472.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008513 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2444994 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 369.14$ · invest 472.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008513 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445825 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 368.59$ · invest 404.07$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445827 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 368.59$ · invest 404.07$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445633 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 368.12$ · invest 483.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −27 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445634 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 368.12$ · invest 483.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −27 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445073 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 366.70$ · invest 474.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445074 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 366.70$ · invest 474.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446035 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 366.14$ · invest 453.09$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446036 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 366.14$ · invest 453.09$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445531 · The Recoil Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 363.83$ · invest 415.12$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445533 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 363.83$ · invest 415.12$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2444695 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 363.04$ · invest 494.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010032 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2444697 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 363.04$ · invest 494.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010032 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446027 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 361.01$ · invest 435.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2446029 · The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 361.01$ · invest 435.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445033 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 358.15$ · invest 483.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445034 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 358.15$ · invest 483.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008758 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445439 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 355.19$ · invest 449.25$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2445440 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 355.19$ · invest 449.25$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009285

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build