The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −6 122.47₴

Invest 12 632.55₴

Average return 6 510.07₴

ROI −48.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest 12 706.00 ₴, profit −6 195.92 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −6 842.40 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

any lot

3 355.93 ₴

at 3 355.93

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

any lot

1 931.55 ₴

at 1 931.55

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

7 345.06 ₴

at 2 448.35

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 12 632.55 ₴ −6 122.47 (−48.5%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 9%
Losing outcome 82%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.248000

10 060.04 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

5 243.28 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

5 737.23 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

6 943.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

4 779.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

5 150.91 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

12 359.89 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

5 031.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

3 249.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

5 200.32 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.764480

4 764.75 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

17 610.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

70 237.84 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

35 169.64 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

38 209.89 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

33 359.00 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

25 129.47 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

14 613.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

4 449.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.618800

5 114.27 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

4 754.65 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

3 176.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

3 547.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

6 141.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

2 912.12 ₴ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

3 078.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

2 575.79 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

2 248.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

1 906.15 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

10 499.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

3 799.40 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

3 450.02 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

4 833.58 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

3 044.49 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

2 503.62 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076160

12 772.17 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.456960

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.618800

4 779.87 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.809200

6 493.17 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.952000

3 000.36 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476000

2 991.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 3 355.93 → 3 355.93 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 1 931.55 → 1 931.55 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 7 345.06 → 7 418.51 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.952000000

outcomes come out up to 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.618800, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.952000, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000, 0.076160, 0.456960, 0.618800, 0.809200, 0.952000, 0.476000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 066.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 373.43 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2448921 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 084.79₴ · invest 13 413.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2448928 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −6 084.79₴ · invest 13 413.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2448635 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −6 122.47₴ · invest 12 632.55₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2448696 · The Gamma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −6 450.31₴ · invest 14 257.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2448705 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −6 450.31₴ · invest 14 257.86₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build