The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −5 734.49₴

Invest 15 940.22₴

Average return 10 205.74₴

ROI −36.0%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 36 988.72 ₴, profit at most −26 782.98 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −6 457.64 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

12 477.22 ₴

at 3 119.31

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0810

3 463.00 ₴

at 3 463.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 940.22 ₴ −5 734.49 (−36.0%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 78%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

11 069.15 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

30 940.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

15 508.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 752.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 572.64 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 031.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 088.97 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 248.37 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 733.13 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 792.30 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 326.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 742.87 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

70 237.84 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

50 064.59 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

66 305.24 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

40 447.84 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

39 363.63 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

47 001.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 613.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

6 461.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

7 777.08 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

5 988.15 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 255.14 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

5 394.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 141.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

4 139.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 032.21 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

3 147.28 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

2 912.12 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 319.71 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

10 499.60 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

5 724.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 283.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 943.32 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 969.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

4 945.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 772.17 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

6 203.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

7 547.38 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 664.24 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 870.48 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

5 101.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 12 477.22 → 29 508.64 ₴

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 463.00 → 7 480.08 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6 592.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5 878.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2450668 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 734.49₴ · invest 15 940.22₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2453728 · The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −5 884.92₴ · invest 15 855.28₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 2453739 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −5 884.92₴ · invest 15 855.28₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079195 instead of 0.081081
Craft 2451942 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −6 146.30₴ · invest 18 939.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074270 instead of 0.081081
Craft 2451960 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 146.30₴ · invest 18 939.16₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074270 instead of 0.081081
Craft 2451944 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −6 168.94₴ · invest 18 566.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2451962 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 168.94₴ · invest 18 566.20₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2452335 · The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −6 221.89₴ · invest 18 619.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.081081
Craft 2452353 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −6 221.89₴ · invest 18 619.14₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.081081

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build