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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +269.09₴

Invest 707.43₴

Average return 976.52₴

ROI +38.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 680.95 ₴, profit at most −704.43 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

92.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

432.36 ₴

at 86.47

Steam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

183.07 ₴

at 183.07

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 707.43 ₴ +269.09 (+38.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −121 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

92.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

259.42 ₴

at 86.47

Steam

×3

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

549.21 ₴

at 183.07

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 900.63 ₴ +187.72 (+20.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −265 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

92.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

172.95 ₴

at 86.47

Steam

×4

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

732.28 ₴

at 183.07

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 997.23 ₴ +147.03 (+14.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −408 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

92.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

86.47 ₴

at 86.47

Steam

×5

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

915.35 ₴

at 183.07

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 093.83 ₴ +106.35 (+9.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

597.22 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 073.35 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

505.50 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 776.34 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 555.58 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 773.24 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Militia Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Cache Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +111.69 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +196.20 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2457390 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 248.54₴ · invest 653.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077392 instead of 0.077567; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006468 instead of 0.006621
Craft 2456927 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 246.44₴ · invest 592.40₴
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077567; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006621

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build