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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +5.27$

Invest 14.95$

Average return 20.22$

ROI +35.2%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 35.68 $, profit at most −15.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

2.04 $

at 0.51

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

9.58 $

at 1.92

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

3.34 $

at 3.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.95 $ +5.27 (+35.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

2.04 $

at 0.51

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

5.75 $

at 1.92

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

10.01 $

at 3.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.79 $ +2.08 (+11.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

7.66 $

at 1.92

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

7.04 $

at 2.35

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

3.34 $

at 3.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.06 $ +0.64 (+3.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

13.23 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

45.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

36.43 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

17.40 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

21.79 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

19.49 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

12.10 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Militia Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Cache Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Ascent Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2457157 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 5.29$ · invest 15.89$
outcome without sales rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.077688; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005444 instead of 0.006727
Craft 2457395 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4.95$ · invest 15.07$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077433 instead of 0.077688; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006504 instead of 0.006727

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build