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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +299.75₴

Invest 562.10₴

Average return 861.85₴

ROI +53.3%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 1 367.04 ₴, profit at most −505.19 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

92.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

432.36 ₴

at 86.47

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

37.74 ₴

at 37.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 562.10 ₴ +299.75 (+53.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

23.00 ₴

at 23.00

Steam

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

196.32 ₴

at 28.05

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

75.48 ₴

at 37.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 294.80 ₴ +97.00 (+32.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

597.22 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

2 073.35 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

505.50 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

292.07 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

927.74 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

405.13 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

239.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

50.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Militia Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Militia Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +160.21 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +232.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 30 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2457173 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 323.81₴ · invest 555.66₴
sells slowly

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003704 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2455807 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 323.39₴ · invest 556.91₴
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457273 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 318.96₴ · invest 620.27₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075791 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005067 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457281 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 307.88₴ · invest 546.16₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457140 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 307.27₴ · invest 551.27₴
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456851 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 307.24₴ · invest 538.89₴
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457044 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 306.66₴ · invest 567.97₴
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456867 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 306.64₴ · invest 563.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457197 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 306.56₴ · invest 556.54₴
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456974 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 306.27₴ · invest 565.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077488 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006552 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456860 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 305.90₴ · invest 549.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457226 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 305.11₴ · invest 556.03₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457160 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 304.76₴ · invest 551.46₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456980 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 304.72₴ · invest 545.79₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456762 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 304.32₴ · invest 565.37₴
sells slowly

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456800 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 303.36₴ · invest 541.58₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457264 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 303.25₴ · invest 567.76₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456667 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 300.94₴ · invest 555.71₴
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456954 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 300.90₴ · invest 538.31₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2456890 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 300.78₴ · invest 539.42₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074208 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003682 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456909 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 300.45₴ · invest 535.98₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457069 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 300.39₴ · invest 537.43₴
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077776 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006804 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457032 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 299.89₴ · invest 562.77₴
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077745 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006776 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457168 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 299.57₴ · invest 546.37₴
sells slowly

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457290 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 297.23₴ · invest 542.86₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2456874 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 296.49₴ · invest 541.76₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2457208 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 295.64₴ · invest 541.63₴
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2456819 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 294.70₴ · invest 550.32₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077392 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006468 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457217 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 294.67₴ · invest 541.56₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077833 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006854 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2457299 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 293.87₴ · invest 551.35₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076681 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005846 instead of 0.006805

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build