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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +158.90₴

Invest 280.60₴

Average return 439.49₴

ROI +56.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 676.66 ₴, profit at most −237.17 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

171.74 ₴

at 28.62

Steam

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

104.66 ₴

at 34.89

souvenirSteam

×1

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2092

4.19 ₴

at 4.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.60 ₴ +158.90 (+56.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

187.43 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

379.55 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

215.66 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 450.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

19.74 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

26.88 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114545

46.51 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

26.23 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +77.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112.74 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2459158 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 158.56₴ · invest 280.42₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074085 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074085 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2459199 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 157.55₴ · invest 282.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rain Station (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2458508 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 156.91₴ · invest 282.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074449 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074449 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2459007 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 156.57₴ · invest 282.64₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2456624 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 155.62₴ · invest 288.94₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2458450 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 155.39₴ · invest 283.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2459091 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 155.30₴ · invest 284.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2458340 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 155.05₴ · invest 283.36₴
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2458797 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 154.87₴ · invest 284.80₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092
Craft 2458848 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 153.20₴ · invest 287.87₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074481 instead of 0.074092

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build