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The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +203.44₴

Invest 757.97₴

Average return 961.41₴

ROI +26.8%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 1 922.68 ₴, profit at most −961.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

150.61 ₴

at 150.61

Steam

×9

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

607.36 ₴

at 67.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 757.97 ₴ +203.44 (+26.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −175 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

105.94 ₴

at 105.94

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

301.23 ₴

at 150.61

Steam

×1

P250 | Contaminant

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

59.31 ₴

at 59.31

Steam

×6

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

404.91 ₴

at 67.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 871.38 ₴ +63.44 (+7.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

301.23 ₴

at 150.61

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

40.10 ₴

at 40.10

Steam

×7

M249 | Deep Relief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

472.39 ₴

at 67.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 813.72 ₴ +134.39 (+16.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 94%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AWP | Exoskeleton

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 731.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

947.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Clear Polymer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 061.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Parallax

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

938.49 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

925.02 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 644.51 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

785.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

983.60 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

880.01 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

546.38 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.74 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +153.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2485739 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 217.11₴ · invest 727.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076693
Craft 2489426 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 214.23₴ · invest 736.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076693
Craft 2478914 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 212.14₴ · invest 675.40₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build