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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 187.21₸

Invest 2 615.59₸

Average return 4 802.80₸

ROI +83.6%

Chance of profit 98%

With float: invest at least 6 579.32 ₸, profit at most −1 776.57 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 978.02 ₸

at 219.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

637.57 ₸

at 637.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 615.59 ₸ +2 187.21 (+83.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 318.68 ₸

at 219.78

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 165.14 ₸

at 388.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

637.57 ₸

at 637.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 121.38 ₸ +1 672.38 (+53.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −263 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 098.90 ₸

at 219.78

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 553.51 ₸

at 388.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

637.57 ₸

at 637.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 289.98 ₸ +1 500.83 (+45.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 082.50 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 151.20 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 677.21 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 082.49 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 639.76 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

3 313.05 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 734.70 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

10 808.85 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

3 706.00 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

898.37 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 321.21 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 088.83 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2476867 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2 421.02₸ · invest 2 264.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2471013 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 409.80₸ · invest 2 253.23₸
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2472055 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 384.55₸ · invest 2 413.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2475488 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 378.98₸ · invest 2 122.96₸
outcome without sales

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2473170 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 361.30₸ · invest 2 604.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477024 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2 359.56₸ · invest 2 163.13₸
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476673 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2 333.12₸ · invest 2 127.86₸
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476918 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 2 318.85₸ · invest 2 546.02₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476767 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2 302.14₸ · invest 2 211.73₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2476974 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2 294.81₸ · invest 2 511.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477184 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 2 286.78₸ · invest 2 366.40₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2469009 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 277.14₸ · invest 2 345.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476843 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2 249.94₸ · invest 2 383.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477300 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 247.49₸ · invest 2 224.36₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477486 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2 236.21₸ · invest 2 354.73₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2476808 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2 233.15₸ · invest 2 673.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2474053 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 231.26₸ · invest 2 291.03₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477455 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2 208.96₸ · invest 2 266.30₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2477263 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 208.45₸ · invest 2 273.07₸
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2468139 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2 185.39₸ · invest 2 335.16₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build