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The Dead Hand Collection + The Militia Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +8.50$

Invest 351.46$

Average return 359.97$

ROI +2.4%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 881.74 $, profit at most −521.77 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −349.68 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

3.01 $

at 0.75

Steam

×6

P250 | Modern Hunter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

348.45 $

at 58.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 351.46 $ +8.50 (+2.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Modern Hunter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

609.16 $ 60.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5.46 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4.46 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7.35 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4.09 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4.23 $ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Militia Collection

Variant 2 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.48 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Militia Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 27 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2479449 · The Falchion Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 10.30$ · invest 351.79$
outcome without sales marketplace price rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488575 · The Militia Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 9.60$ · invest 351.75$
marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2461487 · The Achroma Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 9.45$ · invest 351.23$
marketplace price rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2481234 · The Fracture Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 9.45$ · invest 349.69$
marketplace price rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2487725 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 9.40$ · invest 349.61$
marketplace price rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2486083 · The Harlequin Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 9.36$ · invest 351.85$
marketplace price rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074030 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2474521 · The Clutch Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 9.06$ · invest 349.99$
marketplace price rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488555 · The Militia Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 8.98$ · invest 349.98$
marketplace price rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488556 · The Militia Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 8.89$ · invest 349.97$
marketplace price rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074291 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2482091 · The Gallery Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.80$ · invest 351.73$
marketplace price rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074129 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2457091 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.73$ · invest 299.95$
marketplace price rare inputs

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488571 · The Militia Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 8.52$ · invest 292.79$
marketplace price rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2475972 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.50$ · invest 350.72$
marketplace price rare inputs

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488541 · The Militia Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 8.46$ · invest 293.36$
marketplace price rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2486557 · The Horizon Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.39$ · invest 295.20$
marketplace price rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2473512 · The Chroma Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.39$ · invest 294.71$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488554 · The Militia Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 8.38$ · invest 293.94$
marketplace price rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2482991 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.35$ · invest 294.98$
marketplace price rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2472489 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.30$ · invest 293.12$
marketplace price rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2484388 · The Genesis Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.27$ · invest 351.67$
marketplace price rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2488557 · The Militia Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 8.22$ · invest 293.88$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2465640 · The Ascent Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.13$ · invest 294.92$
marketplace price rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488551 · The Militia Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 8.04$ · invest 296.09$
marketplace price rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2466882 · The Boreal Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 8.02$ · invest 292.28$
marketplace price rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2488569 · The Militia Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 8.01$ · invest 295.18$
marketplace price rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2483684 · The Gamma Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 7.97$ · invest 292.95$
marketplace price rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; P250 | Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074656
Craft 2480336 · The Fever Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 7.92$ · invest 351.20$
marketplace price rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Militia Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build