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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +37.09₴

Invest 120.97₴

Average return 158.06₴

ROI +30.7%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 288.28 ₴, profit at most −130.22 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

20.24 ₴

at 20.24

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

21.78 ₴

at 21.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

9.73 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

69.21 ₴

at 9.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.97 ₴ +37.09 (+30.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1774

43.56 ₴

at 21.78

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

272.63 ₴

at 38.95

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

9.73 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 325.92 ₴ +7.08 (+2.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1756

43.56 ₴

at 21.78

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

233.69 ₴

at 38.95

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

19.45 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 296.70 ₴ +11.31 (+3.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

43.56 ₴

at 21.78

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

194.74 ₴

at 38.95

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

29.18 ₴

at 9.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.48 ₴ +15.54 (+5.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

210.45 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079899

88.13 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

79.90 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095054

69.52 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173.44 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

332.24 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

180.57 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

1 083.94 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

371.65 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

90.09 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 20.24 → 43.73 ₴

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 21.78 → 47.05 ₴

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 9.73 → 21.01 ₴

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 69.21 → 176.50 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.056999, 0.079899, 0.099999, 0.095054, 0.069999, 0.059999, 0.099999, 0.051999, 0.049999, 0.190999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.03 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2479655 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 31.38₴ · invest 164.91₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165745 instead of 0.162940

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build