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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.10$

Invest 5.34$

Average return 9.44$

ROI +76.8%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 13.65 $, profit at most −4.21 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

0.84 $

at 0.84

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

4.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.34 $ +4.10 (+76.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 58%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

6.48 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

2.33 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.08 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.71 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.47 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.55 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.97 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.31 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.12 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Militia Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Militia Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 27 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2483317 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.28$ · invest 4.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483060 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 4.27$ · invest 5.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2471192 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.27$ · invest 4.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2482919 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 4.26$ · invest 5.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2473338 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.25$ · invest 5.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483156 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4.25$ · invest 5.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2472263 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.24$ · invest 5.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483223 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4.22$ · invest 5.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2482830 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.21$ · invest 4.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2465501 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.20$ · invest 5.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2466726 · The Boreal Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.18$ · invest 4.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483385 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4.17$ · invest 5.33$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2461354 · The Achroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.13$ · invest 5.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2481014 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.13$ · invest 4.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2477845 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.12$ · invest 4.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2482961 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4.12$ · invest 4.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2482907 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 4.11$ · invest 5.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2475729 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.10$ · invest 4.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483103 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.10$ · invest 4.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483078 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4.05$ · invest 5.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483339 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.05$ · invest 4.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2474278 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.03$ · invest 4.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2483169 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.01$ · invest 4.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2468270 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3.99$ · invest 5.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483200 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3.99$ · invest 4.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2483360 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.97$ · invest 5.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074869 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2469211 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3.89$ · invest 5.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build