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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 984.70₸

Invest 4 068.51₸

Average return 8 053.21₸

ROI +97.9%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 9 949.46 ₸, profit at most −1 896.25 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2 258.02 ₸

at 376.34

Steam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

1 810.50 ₸

at 452.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 068.51 ₸ +3 984.70 (+97.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1 957.70 ₸

at 279.67

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

752.67 ₸

at 376.34

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

452.62 ₸

at 452.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 163.00 ₸ +1 341.10 (+42.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 912.46 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 251.25 ₸ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 039.91 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 390.27 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

502.14 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 560.42 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 767.71 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 017.33 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

3 142.03 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

15 633.53 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Militia Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 465.32 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 162.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 32 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2485380 · The Glove Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4 471.28₸ · invest 3 114.66₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485108 · The Glove Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 4 434.93₸ · invest 3 420.46₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2484969 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 4 398.68₸ · invest 4 419.47₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2473411 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 397.12₸ · invest 4 149.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485205 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4 392.70₸ · invest 3 735.62₸
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2482877 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 375.19₸ · invest 4 297.22₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2472345 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 352.94₸ · invest 3 290.79₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485285 · The Glove Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4 305.88₸ · invest 3 704.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2465531 · The Ascent Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 258.23₸ · invest 4 263.99₸
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485179 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4 209.98₸ · invest 4 897.53₸
rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2466758 · The Boreal Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 201.06₸ · invest 2 840.48₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485328 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4 194.25₸ · invest 4 407.22₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2483555 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 173.57₸ · invest 3 201.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485461 · The Glove Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4 154.48₸ · invest 4 036.26₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2461387 · The Achroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 056.26₸ · invest 3 685.94₸
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2481097 · The Fracture Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 053.80₸ · invest 2 645.00₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2477938 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 026.83₸ · invest 2 505.64₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485008 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4 023.39₸ · invest 2 592.09₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2484960 · The Glove Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 3 993.66₸ · invest 4 108.51₸
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164777 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485154 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 974.03₸ · invest 3 127.24₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485131 · The Glove Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 854.22₸ · invest 3 862.39₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485404 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3 834.16₸ · invest 2 917.25₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2474372 · The Clutch Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 790.32₸ · invest 2 851.12₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2485218 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3 739.07₸ · invest 2 843.70₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2468328 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 682.82₸ · invest 3 363.37₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485249 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3 681.12₸ · invest 2 839.19₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165769 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2481923 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 620.33₸ · invest 4 026.26₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2475829 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 511.39₸ · invest 3 246.49₸
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162287 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2485435 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 509.50₸ · invest 3 549.17₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2469289 · The CS20 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 422.55₸ · invest 4 171.09₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164398 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2476915 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 416.22₸ · invest 3 846.26₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167164 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2471259 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 400.89₸ · invest 2 372.10₸
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build