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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10 975.09₸

Invest 45 682.56₸

Average return 56 657.65₸

ROI +24.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 112 391.87 ₸, profit at most −55 734.23 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

4 327.86 ₸

at 4 327.86

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

31 901.25 ₸

at 3 987.66

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 453.45 ₸

at 9 453.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 682.56 ₸ +10 975.09 (+24.0%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

8 655.73 ₸

at 4 327.86

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0803

27 913.59 ₸

at 3 987.66

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

9 453.45 ₸

at 9 453.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 022.77 ₸ +6 981.19 (+15.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111 491.73 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

27 224.30 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

27 710.91 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

26 970.39 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 983.81 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 431.52 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2487031 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 12 191.02₸ · invest 46 623.29₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2471331 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 11 938.56₸ · invest 48 435.67₸
sells slowly float cannot be reached rare inputs

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077257 instead of 0.078682; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.006350 instead of 0.007596
Craft 2484327 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 11 677.36₸ · invest 46 397.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2487048 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 11 246.06₸ · invest 49 321.52₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.078682; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.007596

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build