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The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.04$

Invest 4.58$

Average return 7.62$

ROI +66.5%

Chance of profit 98%

With float: invest at least 11.11 $, profit at most −3.49 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

2.85 $

at 0.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.58 $ +3.04 (+66.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

3.45 $

at 0.86

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1.78 $

at 0.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.10 $ +2.52 (+41.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

4.31 $

at 0.86

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1.43 $

at 0.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.60 $ +2.35 (+35.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.64 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.12 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.22 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.91 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.050399

11.01 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

7.36 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.40 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

24.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

8.23 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

2.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.84 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2480465 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3.07$ · invest 3.93$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075886 instead of 0.076693; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New): float at most 0.005151 instead of 0.005856

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build