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The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +123.31₴

Invest 219.70₴

Average return 343.01₴

ROI +56.1%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 534.71 ₴, profit at most −191.70 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

27.90 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

27.90 ₴

at 13.95

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

163.91 ₴

at 27.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219.70 ₴ +123.31 (+56.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 27%

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.067021

366.87 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

261.37 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

821.78 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076595

41.85 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

30.83 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

45.62 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076595

36.34 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095744

40.18 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Militia Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +76.40 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +100.71 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2467220 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 151.84₴ · invest 165.92₴
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161950 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 6; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074156 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2478655 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 131.30₴ · invest 215.04₴
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166181 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075628 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2494384 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 130.53₴ · invest 228.80₴
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2484143 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 129.39₴ · invest 236.48₴
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear), Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161624 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074043 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2488273 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 127.25₴ · invest 217.93₴
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166742 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075823 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2490471 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 123.81₴ · invest 245.62₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2472979 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 122.87₴ · invest 241.29₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161768 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2461794 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 122.60₴ · invest 254.50₴
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166552 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075757 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2494215 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 122.45₴ · invest 235.40₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165779 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075488 instead of 0.075825
Craft 2475080 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 121.73₴ · invest 226.59₴
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)
Craft 2492916 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 120.43₴ · invest 226.19₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162691 instead of 0.166748; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074414 instead of 0.075825

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build