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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.63$

Invest 18.54$

Average return 20.17$

ROI +8.8%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 46.83 $, profit at most −26.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

4.10 $

at 4.10

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

14.44 $

at 1.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.54 $ +1.63 (+8.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AUG | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43.60 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261578

7.65 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.150736

6.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.021052

79.60 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.016842

40.76 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.78 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2484539 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1.71$ · invest 15.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005943 instead of 0.004878
Craft 2477219 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1.65$ · invest 16.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.005943 instead of 0.004878
Craft 2467014 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1.62$ · invest 16.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): float at most 0.004381 instead of 0.004878

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build