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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 880.85₽

Invest 2 932.42₽

Average return 4 813.27₽

ROI +64.1%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 6 969.46 ₽, profit at most −2 156.19 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

1 509.34 ₽

at 215.62

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

935.78 ₽

at 467.89

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

487.30 ₽

at 487.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 932.42 ₽ +1 880.85 (+64.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

1 509.34 ₽

at 215.62

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

467.89 ₽

at 467.89

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

974.60 ₽

at 487.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 951.83 ₽ +1 800.82 (+61.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −124 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

159.59 ₽

at 159.59

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

431.24 ₽

at 215.62

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

511.90 ₽

at 255.95

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

2 436.50 ₽

at 487.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 539.23 ₽ +910.31 (+25.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −179 ₽

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

431.24 ₽

at 215.62

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

767.85 ₽

at 255.95

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 436.50 ₽

at 487.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 635.59 ₽ +753.33 (+20.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

319.18 ₽

at 159.59

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

862.48 ₽

at 215.62

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 949.20 ₽

at 487.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 130.86 ₽ +1 500.55 (+47.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 776.71 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

3 349.85 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

2 688.36 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

6 213.99 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044705

5 998.32 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

2 511.19 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 108.52 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 663.20 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2479772 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2 032.11₽ · invest 2 538.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075085 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.004450 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2485338 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 941.65₽ · invest 3 031.51₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2493729 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 917.57₽ · invest 2 681.22₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2492083 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 917.53₽ · invest 2 938.51₽
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2492364 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 913.82₽ · invest 2 567.40₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2482479 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 912.95₽ · invest 2 722.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2493660 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 909.22₽ · invest 2 597.26₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2467110 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 905.67₽ · invest 2 729.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2469694 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 892.57₽ · invest 2 670.32₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078939 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007821 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2491682 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 881.21₽ · invest 2 579.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078179 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007156 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2476333 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 873.40₽ · invest 2 640.25₽
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2493751 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 862.86₽ · invest 2 820.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078842 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007737 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2481546 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 855.49₽ · invest 2 605.75₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078998 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007873 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2484681 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 849.72₽ · invest 2 751.49₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2477383 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 842.95₽ · invest 2 789.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079182 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.008034 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2473775 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 841.59₽ · invest 2 864.49₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2472799 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 834.86₽ · invest 2 756.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.078348; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.007304

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build