The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +287.04$

Invest 511.78$

Average return 798.82$

ROI +56.1%

Chance of profit 43%

With float: invest at least 1 173.64 $, profit at most −374.82 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −218.52 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

332.62 $

at 83.16

Steam

×1

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

179.16 $

at 179.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 511.78 $ +287.04 (+56.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −205 $

4% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

249.47 $

at 83.16

Steam

×2

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

358.32 $

at 179.16

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 607.78 $ +43.72 (+7.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 141.02 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503.32 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

308.91 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

500.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.76 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

968.53 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

390.01 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 417.67 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 185.88 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.96 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 588.83 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

299.28 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 030.78 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

816.69 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 275.71 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 829.73 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 229.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

682.08 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

263.14 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

534.41 $ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104.29 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200.47 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

242.08 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

280.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

393.51 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

238.87 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

435.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

298.58 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

273.22 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274.97 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

146.97 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

182.16 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

184.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife

no wear

130.01 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +245.86 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +286.83 $ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2495917 · The Gallery Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 312.24$ · invest 478.19$
sale unreliable marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008981 instead of 0.009444
Craft 2495918 · The Clutch Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 312.24$ · invest 478.19$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008981 instead of 0.009444
Craft 2495925 · The Horizon Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 291.59$ · invest 550.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2495927 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 291.59$ · invest 550.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2495911 · The Falchion Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 287.04$ · invest 511.78$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build