The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +69.53$

Invest 412.57$

Average return 482.10$

ROI +16.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 908.75 $, profit at most −426.65 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −258 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −26.30 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

60.48 $

at 60.48

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

128.50 $

at 64.25

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

223.59 $

at 111.79

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 412.57 $ +69.53 (+16.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −228 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

120.96 $

at 60.48

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

128.50 $

at 64.25

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

111.79 $

at 111.79

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 361.25 $ +56.00 (+15.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −198 $

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0812

181.44 $

at 60.48

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

128.50 $

at 64.25

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 309.94 $ +42.47 (+13.7%)

What you get 74 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 4%

Order

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

480.15 $ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

570.01 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

299.95 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

550.01 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

295.00 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

231.38 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

229.02 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

669.16 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

755.51 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 167.73 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

709.75 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

189.63 $ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 115.25 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

503.84 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

541.80 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

834.15 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

449.99 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

298.58 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

211.38 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

366.12 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 573.97 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 453.71 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

107.47 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

118.73 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

74.64 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

53.17 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

109.45 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44.95 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

54.81 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

95.65 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

44.11 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

47.87 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

51.17 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

66.47 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

564.26 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

454.78 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

301.65 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

226.32 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

420.91 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

203.21 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.99 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

477.73 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

196.64 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

157.08 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

168.65 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

229.93 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

237.47 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

222.82 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

117.74 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

77.22 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

169.02 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

92.06 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

70.02 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

206.02 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

76.16 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.14 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

115.89 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

106.91 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

1 073.51 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

962.92 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

612.25 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

376.05 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

752.88 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

323.01 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

336.50 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

783.77 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

276.00 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

314.11 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

390.01 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

376.45 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

87.00 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

48.82 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

217.70 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

390.94 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 60.48 → 130.63 $

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 128.50 → 283.98 $

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 223.59 → 494.13 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.55 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2496124 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 70.61$ · invest 418.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2496127 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 70.61$ · invest 418.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2496196 · The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 69.58$ · invest 391.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −243 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168132 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2496198 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 69.58$ · invest 391.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −243 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168132 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2496109 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 69.53$ · invest 412.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2496086 · The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 65.44$ · invest 389.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2496088 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 65.44$ · invest 389.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2496214 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 65.32$ · invest 453.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −294 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.081212
Craft 2496216 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 65.32$ · invest 453.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −294 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.182235; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.081212

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 74 outcomes

More

How to build