The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +69.58$

Invest 391.63$

Average return 461.22$

ROI +17.8%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 863.53 $, profit at most −402.31 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −243 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −26.25 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

128.50 $

at 64.25

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

223.59 $

at 111.79

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

39.55 $

at 39.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 391.63 $ +69.58 (+17.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −204 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

192.75 $

at 64.25

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

39.55 $

at 39.55

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

94.01 $

at 94.01

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 326.31 $ +49.18 (+15.1%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 4%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

480.15 $ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

570.01 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

299.95 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

550.01 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

295.00 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

231.38 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

229.02 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

669.16 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

755.51 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 167.73 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

709.75 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

189.63 $ 3.64%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 115.25 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

503.84 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

541.80 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

834.15 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

449.99 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

298.58 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

211.38 $ 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

366.12 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 573.97 $ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 453.71 $ 3.64%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

220.36 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

246.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

158.00 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

98.56 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

222.44 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.21 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82.41 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

180.05 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

96.57 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

92.33 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

66.88 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113.15 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

111.79 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 128.50 → 283.98 $

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 223.59 → 494.13 $

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 39.55 → 85.42 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2496124 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 70.61$ · invest 418.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496127 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 70.61$ · invest 418.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496196 · The Wildfire Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 69.58$ · invest 391.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −243 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2496106 · The Horizon Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 69.53$ · invest 412.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496109 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 69.53$ · invest 412.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.182235 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.081212 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496086 · The Gallery Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 65.44$ · invest 389.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496088 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 65.44$ · invest 389.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −235 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172789 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077926 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496214 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 65.32$ · invest 453.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −294 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.076306
Craft 2496216 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 65.32$ · invest 453.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −294 $ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165624 instead of 0.168132; Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075434 instead of 0.076306

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build