The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +13 967.91₴

Invest 22 790.33₴

Average return 36 758.24₴

ROI +61.3%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 53 029.14 ₴, profit at most −16 270.89 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 663 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −4 533.21 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

4 243.87 ₴

at 4 243.87

Steam

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

18 546.46 ₴

at 4 636.61

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 790.33 ₴ +13 967.91 (+61.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 561 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

8 487.74 ₴

at 4 243.87

Steam

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

13 909.84 ₴

at 4 636.61

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 397.59 ₴ +8 719.77 (+38.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 459 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

12 731.61 ₴

at 4 243.87

Steam

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

9 273.23 ₴

at 4 636.61

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 004.84 ₴ +3 471.62 (+15.8%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 36%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 080.09 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 000.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 868.08 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 567.58 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 790.42 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 290.79 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 185.20 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 955.05 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 525.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 096.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 141.23 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 436.67 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 435.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 941.09 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 569.71 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 479.16 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 999.43 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 627.11 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

123 624.05 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 582.80 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 109.08 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 522.78 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 016.42 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 690.88 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 947.39 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 105.18 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

13 399.40 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65 706.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 987.38 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 579.65 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 217.29 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 164.86 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 869.94 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

5 046.25 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 748.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 865.45 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Snakebite Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2496923 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 132.18₴ · invest 25 102.04₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 264 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008046 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496924 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 14 132.18₴ · invest 25 102.04₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 264 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.008046 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496777 · The Snakebite Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 14 045.15₴ · invest 22 544.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 017 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496779 · The Prisma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 14 045.15₴ · invest 22 544.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 017 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496915 · The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 13 967.91₴ · invest 22 790.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 663 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2496643 · The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 13 865.12₴ · invest 28 534.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 116 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496645 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13 865.12₴ · invest 28 534.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 116 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496613 · The Snakebite Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 13 232.16₴ · invest 22 200.22₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 115 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496615 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13 232.16₴ · invest 22 200.22₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 115 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496455 · The Snakebite Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 198.11₴ · invest 25 782.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 927 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009770 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496456 · The Gamma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13 198.11₴ · invest 25 782.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 927 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009770 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495807 · The Snakebite Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 13 151.91₴ · invest 25 334.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 487 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009274 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495808 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13 151.91₴ · invest 25 334.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 487 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.009274 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496425 · The Snakebite Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 13 061.15₴ · invest 25 919.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 064 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496426 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 13 061.15₴ · invest 25 919.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 064 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495887 · The Snakebite Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 12 900.65₴ · invest 25 585.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 739 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.005535 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495888 · The Chroma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 900.65₴ · invest 25 585.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 739 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.005535 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495521 · The Snakebite Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 12 870.21₴ · invest 26 364.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 526 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011106 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2495523 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 870.21₴ · invest 26 364.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 526 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011106 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496905 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 856.68₴ · invest 24 612.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 745 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496906 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12 856.68₴ · invest 24 612.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 745 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.010407 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496327 · The Snakebite Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 12 850.28₴ · invest 22 853.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 910 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496329 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 850.28₴ · invest 22 853.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 910 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496891 · The Snakebite Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 12 763.17₴ · invest 23 777.70₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 317 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197
Craft 2496893 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 763.17₴ · invest 23 777.70₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 317 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New): float at most 0.011143 instead of 0.010197

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build