The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 546.37₴

Invest 17 852.81₴

Average return 10 306.45₴

ROI −42.3%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 39 501.80 ₴, profit at most −29 195.35 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −8 282.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0845

9 397.23 ₴

at 3 132.41

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0127

4 043.00 ₴

at 4 043.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1918

4 412.59 ₴

at 4 412.59

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 852.81 ₴ −7 546.37 (−42.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 78%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

11 115.66 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.040405

31 187.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

15 573.83 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 792.55 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

19 661.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 054.54 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 200.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15 526.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8 733.10 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 823.27 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

4 346.57 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 771.50 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

71 520.00 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

50 978.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

66 583.84 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

41 186.20 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

39 547.82 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

47 198.57 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

14 758.07 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

6 489.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

7 674.27 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

8 669.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 263.55 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

5 417.61 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

6 199.65 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

4 152.44 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 267.73 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

3 921.29 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

2 857.45 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 526.43 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

13 090.88 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

5 658.81 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

8 318.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 974.98 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

3 969.80 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

3 485.83 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.009729

12 573.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

5 642.92 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079053

7 581.80 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103378

6 771.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

4 909.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

5 014.08 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) × 3 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 9 397.23 → 21 237.74 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 043.00 → 8 732.88 ₴

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 412.59 → 9 531.18 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.121621522

outcomes come out up to 0.009729, 0.040405, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.121621, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.000000, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.121621, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810, 0.009729, 0.058378, 0.079053, 0.103378, 0.121621, 0.060810

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 433.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 712.82 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2497987 · The Wildfire Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −7 244.29₴ · invest 19 151.27₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078088 instead of 0.084556; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007077 instead of 0.012736
Craft 2497995 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 244.29₴ · invest 19 151.27₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078088 instead of 0.084556; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.007077 instead of 0.012736
Craft 2503825 · The Wildfire Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −7 278.98₴ · invest 16 495.45₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 2503833 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 278.98₴ · invest 16 495.45₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 2503033 · The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −7 522.76₴ · invest 17 852.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076756 instead of 0.084556; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.012736; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169425 instead of 0.191849
Craft 2503051 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 522.76₴ · invest 17 852.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169425 instead of 0.191849; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076756 instead of 0.084556; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.012736
Craft 2503052 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 546.37₴ · invest 17 852.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2501129 · The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −7 726.71₴ · invest 16 725.45₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)
Craft 2501137 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −7 726.71₴ · invest 16 725.45₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build