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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.59$

Invest at least 1.44$

Average return 0.85$

ROI −40.8%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.44 $, profit at most −0.59 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.36 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.20 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.60 $ +0.25 (+42.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

0.11 $

at 0.04

Steam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

0.05 $

at 0.05

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

0.36 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.51 $ +0.17 (+33.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

0.18 $

at 0.04

Steam

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

0.19 $

at 0.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

0.06 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.43 $ +0.10 (+22.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.14 $

at 0.04

Steam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.14 $

at 0.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

0.18 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 0.47 $ +0.14 (+30.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.30 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

0.78 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

0.77 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

1.45 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

0.18 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

0.16 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

0.11 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

0.08 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508145 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2506086 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.61$
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2507857 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2507690 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.59$
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2508345 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2508427 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2507795 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2508551 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.61$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508016 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.60$
P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508227 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.61$
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2507837 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 0.61$
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2508196 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.24$ · invest 0.61$
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build