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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −298.50₸

Invest at least 545.99₸

Average return 247.49₸

ROI −54.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 545.99 ₸, profit at most −298.50 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

16.09 ₸

at 16.09

Steam

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

173.06 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

29.17 ₸

at 29.17

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 218.32 ₸ +29.17 (+13.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

32.18 ₸

at 16.09

Steam

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

19.05 ₸

at 19.05

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

151.43 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 202.66 ₸ +22.82 (+11.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Mudder

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

48.27 ₸

at 16.09

Steam

×4

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

76.20 ₸

at 19.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

64.90 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 189.37 ₸ +14.10 (+7.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 22%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

298.29 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

354.41 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

348.06 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109666

239.04 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81.63 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

float up to 0.018666

73.35 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Field-Tested

float up to 0.233333

34.17 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Nitro

Field-Tested

float up to 0.232666

37.67 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −34.06 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.13 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508555 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 26.35₸ · invest 222.84₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build