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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +63.05₴

Invest 289.34₴

Average return 352.39₴

ROI +21.8%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 693.34 ₴, profit at most −340.95 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

134.45 ₴

at 26.89

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

130.14 ₴

at 32.54

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

24.75 ₴

at 24.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 289.34 ₴ +63.05 (+21.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564.76 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.029166

540.61 ₴ 30.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

175.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

276.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

85.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

388.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

245.55 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

50.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.93 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2505981 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 63.35₴ · invest 281.29₴
pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162493 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003802 instead of 0.005130
Craft 2505944 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 63.30₴ · invest 284.27₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162493 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003802 instead of 0.005130
Craft 2505752 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 62.33₴ · invest 286.27₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161699 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003560 instead of 0.005130
Craft 2505987 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 61.80₴ · invest 282.20₴
pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162004 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003653 instead of 0.005130
Craft 2505693 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 61.59₴ · invest 281.75₴
pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162719 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.003871 instead of 0.005130
Craft 2505676 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 60.06₴ · invest 295.68₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163229 instead of 0.166856; Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004026 instead of 0.005130

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build