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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +17.25$

Invest 32.38$

Average return 49.63$

ROI +53.3%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 83.33 $, profit at most −33.69 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

3.91 $

at 3.91

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

28.47 $

at 3.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.38 $ +17.25 (+53.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

11.73 $

at 3.91

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

18.98 $

at 3.16

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

6.30 $

at 6.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.02 $ +9.14 (+24.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.64 $

at 3.91

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

15.82 $

at 3.16

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.30 $

at 6.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.76 $ +6.66 (+17.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

19.56 $

at 3.91

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

12.65 $

at 3.16

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.30 $

at 6.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.51 $ +4.18 (+10.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

23.47 $

at 3.91

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

9.49 $

at 3.16

Steam

×1

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

6.30 $

at 6.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.26 $ +1.69 (+4.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

151.05 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

13.29 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

12.88 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.18 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2528512 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.79$ · invest 29.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165081 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2539799 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 18.66$ · invest 30.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166502 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2529387 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.33$ · invest 29.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162189 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2520807 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.32$ · invest 29.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2539447 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 18.24$ · invest 29.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2531119 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.22$ · invest 29.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2539562 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 18.22$ · invest 31.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2539660 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18.15$ · invest 28.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2539661 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 18.14$ · invest 29.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2536697 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 18.11$ · invest 29.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2523839 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 17.99$ · invest 29.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161939 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2518763 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 17.74$ · invest 30.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2539510 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 17.71$ · invest 29.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2539775 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 17.70$ · invest 31.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2521876 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 17.67$ · invest 30.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2539500 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 17.43$ · invest 30.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.162562
Craft 2527926 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 17.09$ · invest 29.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164566 instead of 0.162562

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build