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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Radiant Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +10.96$

Invest 43.33$

Average return 54.29$

ROI +25.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 105.24 $, profit at most −50.94 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

1.31 $

at 1.31

Steam

×4

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

13.25 $

at 3.31

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

28.78 $

at 5.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.33 $ +10.96 (+25.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

2.61 $

at 1.31

Steam

×4

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

15.64 $

at 3.91

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

23.02 $

at 5.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.28 $ +1.75 (+4.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

3.92 $

at 1.31

Steam

×1

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

3.31 $

at 3.31

Steam

×6

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

34.53 $

at 5.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.76 $ +8.02 (+19.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

3.92 $

at 1.31

Steam

×2

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7.82 $

at 3.91

Steam

×5

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

28.78 $

at 5.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.52 $ +4.76 (+11.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.03 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.18 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63.03 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2534101 · The Glove Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 11.69$ · invest 45.93$
outcome without sales

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)
Craft 2541007 · The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 11.36$ · invest 44.34$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested); USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075044 instead of 0.075185; M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New): float at most 0.004413 instead of 0.004536
Craft 2540791 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 10.67$ · invest 43.29$
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build