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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +78.26₴

Invest 222.18₴

Average return 300.43₴

ROI +35.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 576.29 ₴, profit at most −275.86 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

205.09 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

17.08 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.18 ₴ +78.26 (+35.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

8.71 ₴

at 8.71

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

136.73 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

16.47 ₴

at 8.24

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

17.08 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.00 ₴ +62.13 (+34.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

8.71 ₴

at 8.71

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

113.94 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7.10 ₴

at 7.10

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

24.71 ₴

at 8.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.47 ₴ +57.01 (+36.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

17.43 ₴

at 8.71

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

68.36 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

32.94 ₴

at 8.24

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

17.08 ₴

at 17.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 135.82 ₴ +46.01 (+33.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593.03 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

262.97 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

282.78 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

47.73 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

29.27 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

32.20 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

49.74 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

34.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +32.33 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.34 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506679 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 78.52₴ · invest 221.81₴
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077321 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506280 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 77.80₴ · invest 230.97₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506399 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 75.72₴ · invest 236.18₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074475 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506625 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 75.19₴ · invest 227.60₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506688 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 74.21₴ · invest 235.02₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506544 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 73.86₴ · invest 226.10₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2506400 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 73.17₴ · invest 236.18₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2506219 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 73.15₴ · invest 245.25₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077272

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build