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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +298.35₴

Invest 535.38₴

Average return 833.73₴

ROI +55.7%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 1 229.11 ₴, profit at most −395.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

136.73 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

248.40 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

150.26 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 535.38 ₴ +298.35 (+55.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

136.73 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

165.60 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

150.26 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0842

154.86 ₴

at 154.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 607.44 ₴ +218.82 (+36.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

136.73 ₴

at 22.79

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

82.80 ₴

at 82.80

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

150.26 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0841

309.72 ₴

at 154.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 679.51 ₴ +139.29 (+20.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

593.03 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 026.29 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

282.78 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

228.86 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

1 614.27 ₴ 2.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

1 915.97 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.007999

493.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

155.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Boreal Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +169.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +230.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2506101 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 303.50₴ · invest 535.38₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078231 instead of 0.074931; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.007202 instead of 0.004315

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build