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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit at most · with float −495.67₸

Invest at least 1 087.24₸

Average return 591.57₸

ROI −45.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 1 087.24 ₸, profit at most −495.67 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

137.17 ₸

at 137.17

souvenirSteam

×5

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

112.47 ₸

at 22.49

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

216.97 ₸

at 54.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 466.61 ₸ +124.95 (+26.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

274.34 ₸

at 137.17

souvenirSteam

×3

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

67.48 ₸

at 22.49

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

271.22 ₸

at 54.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 613.04 ₸ +115.75 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

411.51 ₸

at 137.17

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

22.49 ₸

at 22.49

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

325.46 ₸

at 54.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 759.46 ₸ +106.50 (+14.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

FAMAS | Snake Song

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

433.84 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

485.34 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

395.90 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Sultan

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142857

775.07 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071428

1 311.96 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078571

1 461.83 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 542.82 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078571

3 084.67 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Inferno Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.55 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +113.76 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build