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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −266.59₸

Invest at least 650.11₸

Average return 383.52₸

ROI −41.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 650.11 ₸, profit at most −266.59 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

162.73 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

91.70 ₸

at 30.57

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

15.93 ₸

at 15.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.36 ₸ +113.17 (+41.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

64.90 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

81.37 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×4

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

63.71 ₸

at 15.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.98 ₸ +57.15 (+27.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×5

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

108.16 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×2

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

31.86 ₸

at 15.93

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

47.79 ₸

at 15.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.81 ₸ +40.52 (+21.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

38.10 ₸

at 19.05

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

43.27 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×1

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

13.56 ₸

at 13.56

Steam

×5

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

79.64 ₸

at 15.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.57 ₸ +14.96 (+8.6%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

585.11 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

354.41 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

348.06 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

655.07 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

26.91 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

26.96 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

32.29 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

95.89 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

34.12 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

40.68 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094980

28.63 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

40.90 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

28.84 ₸ 1.11%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.62 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508145 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 115.13₸ · invest 269.23₸
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2505469 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 114.83₸ · invest 270.52₸
UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2506086 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 114.78₸ · invest 275.95₸
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2507857 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 114.01₸ · invest 269.50₸
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)
Craft 2507690 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 113.64₸ · invest 268.80₸
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New)
Craft 2508345 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 113.33₸ · invest 268.96₸
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2508427 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 113.26₸ · invest 269.23₸
SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2508551 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 112.39₸ · invest 275.04₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2508016 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 111.58₸ · invest 270.57₸
P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2508227 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 110.83₸ · invest 273.53₸
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2507837 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 110.64₸ · invest 276.11₸
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074750
Craft 2508196 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 109.50₸ · invest 276.11₸
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074099 instead of 0.074750

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

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How to build