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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −314.01₴

Invest at least 761.53₴

Average return 447.52₴

ROI −41.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 761.53 ₴, profit at most −314.01 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.00 ₴

at 28.00

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

263.93 ₴

at 32.99

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

8.09 ₴

at 8.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.02 ₴ +147.50 (+49.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

13.67 ₴

at 13.67

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

140.00 ₴

at 28.00

souvenirSteam

×4

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

32.34 ₴

at 8.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.01 ₴ +123.25 (+66.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

41.00 ₴

at 13.67

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

65.98 ₴

at 32.99

souvenirSteam

×5

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.43 ₴

at 8.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.41 ₴ +115.77 (+78.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

41.00 ₴

at 13.67

souvenirSteam

×2

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

5.38 ₴

at 2.69

Steam

×5

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

40.43 ₴

at 8.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.81 ₴ +84.20 (+97.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

13.67 ₴

at 13.67

souvenirSteam

×6

MAC-10 | Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

9.62 ₴

at 1.60

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

24.26 ₴

at 8.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.54 ₴ +31.30 (+65.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

180.12 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

373.63 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

253.37 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

1 463.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Brass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

24.03 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66.94 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

22.06 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Inferno Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.32 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +102.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508283 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 150.92₴ · invest 296.16₴
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074519 instead of 0.074216; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074519 instead of 0.074216
Craft 2508202 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 148.87₴ · invest 300.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508353 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 148.82₴ · invest 297.87₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074216; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074216
Craft 2507868 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 148.42₴ · invest 298.95₴
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074949 instead of 0.074216; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074949 instead of 0.074216
Craft 2508432 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 148.29₴ · invest 299.15₴
sells slowly

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2507803 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 148.11₴ · invest 299.18₴
sells slowly

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075038 instead of 0.074216; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075038 instead of 0.074216
Craft 2508232 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 145.52₴ · invest 302.12₴
sells slowly

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508129 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 143.17₴ · invest 311.68₴
sells slowly

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074871 instead of 0.074216; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074871 instead of 0.074216

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build