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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit at most · with float −333.59₸

Invest at least 659.96₸

Average return 326.38₸

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 659.96 ₸, profit at most −333.59 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

216.97 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

30.57 ₸

at 30.57

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

14.80 ₸

at 14.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.34 ₸ +64.04 (+24.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

43.27 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

135.61 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×3

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

44.40 ₸

at 14.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 223.27 ₸ +35.89 (+16.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

21.63 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

189.85 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×2

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

29.60 ₸

at 14.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 241.08 ₸ +51.71 (+21.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

86.53 ₸

at 21.63

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

54.24 ₸

at 27.12

souvenirSteam

×4

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

59.19 ₸

at 14.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.97 ₸ +25.61 (+12.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074468

298.29 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

354.41 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

348.06 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

655.07 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Condemned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

22.49 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

34.17 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

31.43 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Gator Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

23.19 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Orange Peel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

22.33 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170212

32.13 ₸ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.48 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.67 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2508146 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 65.90₸ · invest 262.34₸
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074662 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074662 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2505471 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 65.60₸ · invest 263.63₸
UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2507860 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 64.78₸ · invest 262.61₸
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2507691 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 64.41₸ · invest 261.91₸
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2508346 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 64.10₸ · invest 262.07₸
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074662 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074662 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2507796 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 63.93₸ · invest 263.47₸
Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074691 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2508553 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 63.16₸ · invest 268.15₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508018 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 62.35₸ · invest 263.68₸
P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2508229 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 61.60₸ · invest 266.64₸
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2507838 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 61.41₸ · invest 269.23₸
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074078
Craft 2508198 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 60.27₸ · invest 269.23₸
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2506087 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 59.78₸ · invest 269.06₸
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074078; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074628 instead of 0.074078

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build