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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +297.88₽

Invest 535.99₽

Average return 833.87₽

ROI +55.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 302.62 ₽, profit at most −468.75 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

156.66 ₽

at 52.22

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

369.18 ₽

at 61.53

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10.15 ₽

at 10.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 535.99 ₽ +297.88 (+55.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

25.46 ₽

at 25.46

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

50.98 ₽

at 25.49

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Ash Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

7.28 ₽

at 7.28

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

60.90 ₽

at 10.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.62 ₽ +169.04 (+116.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

313.32 ₽

at 52.22

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

123.06 ₽

at 61.53

souvenirSteam

×2

SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

20.30 ₽

at 10.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 456.68 ₽ +290.49 (+63.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

335.92 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

696.82 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

472.53 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 729.36 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

66.27 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

56.90 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Inferno Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +144.53 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +213.40 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2507841 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 302.54₽ · invest 536.95₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)
Craft 2505474 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 297.63₽ · invest 539.47₽
sells slowly

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074608 instead of 0.075318; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074608 instead of 0.075318

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build