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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +168.14$

Invest 282.41$

Average return 450.55$

ROI +59.5%

Chance of profit 75%

With float: invest at least 697.56 $, profit at most −247.00 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −282 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

153.47 $

at 30.69

souvenirSteam

×5

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

128.94 $

at 25.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.41 $ +168.14 (+59.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

525.45 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

250.23 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

666.45 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

630.41 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +79.50 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +145.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2542089 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 185.41$ · invest 170.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2529869 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 183.28$ · invest 161.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2541019 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 183.18$ · invest 177.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543048 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 182.02$ · invest 162.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2537225 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 182.00$ · invest 160.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074058 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2541405 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 181.97$ · invest 160.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2531667 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 181.67$ · invest 167.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2519176 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 181.60$ · invest 164.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543464 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 180.35$ · invest 172.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543614 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 180.30$ · invest 191.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2526771 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 179.75$ · invest 170.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2533795 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 179.68$ · invest 168.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2530699 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 179.30$ · invest 162.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2542845 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 179.25$ · invest 197.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −191 $ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2522331 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 178.76$ · invest 169.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2510851 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 177.75$ · invest 177.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2540265 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 176.62$ · invest 168.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −164 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2512591 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 176.14$ · invest 216.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −217 $ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2539265 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 175.84$ · invest 184.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −162 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2516550 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 175.60$ · invest 173.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2538251 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 169.33$ · invest 236.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −237 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543681 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 169.03$ · invest 180.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −177 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543526 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 166.29$ · invest 207.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −208 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2513216 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 163.61$ · invest 213.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2535862 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 160.52$ · invest 167.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)
Craft 2535207 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 159.77$ · invest 187.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −179 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2506851 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 159.40$ · invest 177.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −177 $ rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)
Craft 2543223 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 156.26$ · invest 140.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −131 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2532391 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 155.64$ · invest 140.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −126 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2536363 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 154.33$ · invest 171.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −132 $ rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)
Craft 2527750 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 153.55$ · invest 135.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −128 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)
Craft 2533086 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 153.17$ · invest 145.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −129 $ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2524349 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 152.50$ · invest 136.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −129 $ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543370 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 152.08$ · invest 142.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −130 $ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2543737 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 148.33$ · invest 157.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −134 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2523189 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 146.94$ · invest 154.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −135 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New)
Craft 2511772 · The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 144.52$ · invest 290.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −290 $ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build