to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +201.47₴

Invest 533.61₴

Average return 735.08₴

ROI +37.8%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 1 332.77 ₴, profit at most −597.70 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

150.26 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

383.35 ₴

at 42.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 533.61 ₴ +201.47 (+37.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −164 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

105.01 ₴

at 105.01

Steam

×2

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

300.51 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

298.16 ₴

at 42.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 703.69 ₴ +49.84 (+7.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −78 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

AUG | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

300.51 ₴

at 150.26

Steam

×1

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

20.14 ₴

at 20.14

Steam

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

298.16 ₴

at 42.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 618.82 ₴ +125.48 (+20.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 305.96 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

567.82 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

630.39 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1 611.58 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

783.47 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

962.58 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

871.61 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

475.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 only The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +75.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +162.89 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2534811 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 215.23₴ · invest 503.62₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2543529 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 213.92₴ · invest 512.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New)
Craft 2528026 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 213.23₴ · invest 450.29₴
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2543515 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 206.12₴ · invest 493.89₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of AUG | Amber Fade (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build