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The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +87 980.80₸

Invest 95 964.92₸

Average return 183 945.73₸

ROI +91.7%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 242 722.40 ₸, profit at most −58 776.67 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −92 607 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

20 564.57 ₸

at 20 564.57

Steam

×9

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

75 400.35 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95 964.92 ₸ +87 980.80 (+91.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −143 486 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

66 335.72 ₸

at 22 111.91

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

35 175.65 ₸

at 35 175.65

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

41 889.09 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

13 516.96 ₸

at 13 516.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156 917.41 ₸ +16 203.14 (+10.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −108 122 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

20 564.57 ₸

at 20 564.57

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

22 111.91 ₸

at 22 111.91

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

58 644.72 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

×1

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13 516.96 ₸

at 13 516.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114 838.15 ₸ +65 499.20 (+57.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −124 876 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

41 129.14 ₸

at 20 564.57

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

35 175.65 ₸

at 35 175.65

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

58 644.72 ₸

at 8 377.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134 949.51 ₸ +41 779.47 (+31.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

321 594.98 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

109 779.52 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

46 339.36 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

46 339.36 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

46 339.36 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

46 339.36 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

46 339.36 ₸ 1.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

813 447.77 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46 086.98 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63 964.40 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2523212 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 92 432.44₸ · invest 85 675.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −85 675 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075775 instead of 0.074914
Craft 2543828 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 87 976.22₸ · invest 86 162.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −80 822 ₸ rare inputs

FAMAS | Afterimage (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested); P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074819 instead of 0.074914

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build