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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +29.72$

Invest 51.32$

Average return 81.04$

ROI +57.9%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 119.11 $, profit at most −38.06 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8.33 $

at 8.33

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

15.79 $

at 2.63

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

27.20 $

at 9.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.32 $ +29.72 (+57.9%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

16.65 $

at 8.33

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

13.16 $

at 2.63

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

27.20 $

at 9.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.02 $ +22.60 (+39.6%)

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

24.98 $

at 8.33

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

13.16 $

at 2.63

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

18.13 $

at 9.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.28 $ +21.92 (+39.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

49.96 $

at 8.33

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.02 $

at 2.02

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

7.90 $

at 2.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.88 $ +14.05 (+23.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136.79 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52.89 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

55.38 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

101.54 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2534377 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.38$ · invest 50.57$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164425 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004390 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2543600 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 30.29$ · invest 48.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165009 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004567 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2542007 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.27$ · invest 47.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2525647 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.27$ · invest 45.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2530630 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.15$ · invest 44.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165559 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004735 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2539757 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.06$ · invest 49.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164788 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004500 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2523132 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.01$ · invest 48.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2510817 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.77$ · invest 48.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2543631 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 29.65$ · invest 46.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163732 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004179 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2540189 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.48$ · invest 46.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2512540 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.36$ · invest 58.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2522248 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.34$ · invest 46.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2539221 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.29$ · invest 50.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2516499 · The Boreal Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.23$ · invest 47.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2528046 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.88$ · invest 45.63$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2515152 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.77$ · invest 48.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2542532 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.53$ · invest 48.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165349 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004671 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2543607 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 28.12$ · invest 50.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2543621 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 27.97$ · invest 53.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2538873 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 27.89$ · invest 49.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2543587 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 27.59$ · invest 49.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build