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The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.79$

Invest 2.54$

Average return 4.33$

ROI +70.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 6.27 $, profit at most −1.95 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.82 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

0.26 $

at 0.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.54 $ +1.79 (+70.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

0.41 $

at 0.21

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

0.09 $

at 0.09

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

0.63 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.12 $ +0.33 (+29.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

7.90 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

3.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

0.75 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

0.66 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

0.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.151999

0.64 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

0.66 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2514554 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 1.83$ · invest 2.62$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161919 instead of 0.163478; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074145 instead of 0.074688
Craft 2515066 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1.72$ · invest 2.68$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163398 instead of 0.163478; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074660 instead of 0.074688
Craft 2514682 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.72$ · invest 2.59$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163585 instead of 0.163478; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074725 instead of 0.074688
Craft 2514583 · The Ascent Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 1.66$ · invest 2.68$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163585 instead of 0.163478; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074725 instead of 0.074688

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build